By Andrea
Now that the days of 0% balance transfers and no balance transfer fees are likely a thing of the past, I thought it might be interesting to actually price out the true cost of a rate reducing balance transfer. I’m going to use a hypothetical, of course, so let’s lay out this story …
Mr. Oscar Grouch has been challenged in the past with his spending habits. Slimey, his pet worm, isn’t all that expensive to care for, but Fluffy, his pet elephant, is pricey. He also has a longtime girlfriend, Grundgetta, and we know how expensive girlfriends can be. Last but not least, Oscar invested in some kind of superfly technology that allowed him to open up some new dimension so that while he looks like he just lives in a regular old trash can, in actuality he has quite the luxurious pad, complete with an Olympic sized pool, a skating rink, and a bowling alley.
A few decades of these spendthrift habits has resulted in not a little bit of debt for Mr. Grouch, but he has recently committed to a goal of eliminating it entirely. Good for him!
In order to reduce his debt as quickly as possible, Oscar has decided to first look around in gratitude at what he already has and then curtail his spending dramatically when it comes to new purchases.
He has also organized all of his bills and put together a cash flow calendar so that he can match up his incoming and outgoing money efficiently and will not be surprised by a dip in his account or overspend when his balance looks good.
Finally, after pondering whether to knock out his lowest balances first in order to get a thrill of accomplishment, as recommended by some financial personal finance advisors, or to knock out the ones with the highest interest rates first in order to lower the actual interest paid over time, as recommended by others, Oscar decides to go with getting rid of the high rates first.
By the way, I’m going to use calendars at Bankrate.com for this illustration - they have a lot of tools that anyone can use at no charge.
Beyond just focusing the bulk of his extra payments to the highest rate card (while paying the minimums to lower rate cards), Oscar figures he can get more bang for his buck by doing a balance transfer. He takes the $5,000 he has on a card charging him 13.99% interest and moves it to another company offering him 1.9% for the first six months. He is planning on being able to pay $500 per month towards that card, which means that he’ll pay it off in eleven months if he leaves the account with his current bank:
| |
Payment |
Interest |
Principal |
Balance |
| |
|
|
|
$5,000.00 |
| 1 |
$500.00 |
$58.29 |
$441.71 |
$4,558.29 |
| 2 |
$500.00 |
$53.14 |
$446.86 |
$4,111.43 |
| 3 |
$500.00 |
$47.93 |
$452.07 |
$3,659.36 |
| 4 |
$500.00 |
$42.66 |
$457.34 |
$3,202.02 |
| 5 |
$500.00 |
$37.33 |
$462.67 |
$2,739.35 |
| 6 |
$500.00 |
$31.94 |
$468.06 |
$2,271.29 |
| 7 |
$500.00 |
$26.48 |
$473.52 |
$1,797.77 |
| 8 |
$500.00 |
$20.96 |
$479.04 |
$1,318.73 |
| 9 |
$500.00 |
$15.37 |
$484.63 |
$834.10 |
| 10 |
$500.00 |
$9.72 |
$490.28 |
$343.82 |
| 11 |
$347.83 |
$4.01 |
$343.82 |
$0.00 |
With this balance transfer, he figures that right off the bat, he’s saving $50 a month in interest, and that’s true. Changing his rate to 1.9%, his payment schedule looks like this instead:
| |
Payment |
Interest |
Principal |
Balance |
| |
|
|
|
$5,000.00 |
| 1 |
$500.00 |
$7.92 |
$492.08 |
$4,507.92 |
| 2 |
$500.00 |
$7.14 |
$492.86 |
$4,015.06 |
| 3 |
$500.00 |
$6.36 |
$493.64 |
$3,521.42 |
| 4 |
$500.00 |
$5.58 |
$494.42 |
$3,027.00 |
| 5 |
$500.00 |
$4.79 |
$495.21 |
$2,531.79 |
| 6 |
$500.00 |
$4.01 |
$495.99 |
$2,035.80 |
| 7 |
$500.00 |
$3.22 |
$496.78 |
$1,539.02 |
| 8 |
$500.00 |
$2.44 |
$497.56 |
$1,041.46 |
| 9 |
$500.00 |
$1.65 |
$498.35 |
$543.11 |
| 10 |
$500.00 |
$0.86 |
$499.14 |
$43.97 |
| 11 |
$44.04 |
$0.07 |
$43.97 |
$0.00 |
By switching to a card with a lower rate, Oscar saves $303. 79, which is great! Except that …
- Oscar didn’t include balance transfer fees in his original payoff amount, and
- The low rate only applies for six months.
In the good old days, balance transfer fees used to either not apply or would be something like 3% of the amount being transferred, up to a max of $75 or something like that. Now, it would be very unusual to receive a no-fee balance transfer offer, and there is no maximum. Taking that into account, Oscar’s real starting balance is $5,150 and his payment schedule looks like this:
|
Payment |
Interest |
Principal |
Balance |
| |
|
|
|
$5,150.00 |
| 1 |
$500.00 |
$8.15 |
$491.85 |
$4,658.15 |
| 2 |
$500.00 |
$7.38 |
$492.62 |
$4,165.53 |
| 3 |
$500.00 |
$6.60 |
$493.40 |
$3,672.13 |
| 4 |
$500.00 |
$5.81 |
$494.19 |
$3,177.94 |
| 5 |
$500.00 |
$5.03 |
$494.97 |
$2,682.97 |
| 6 |
$500.00 |
$4.25 |
$495.75 |
$2,187.22 |
| 7 |
$500.00 |
$3.46 |
$496.54 |
$1,690.68 |
| 8 |
$500.00 |
$2.68 |
$497.32 |
$1,193.36 |
| 9 |
$500.00 |
$1.89 |
$498.11 |
$695.25 |
| 10 |
$500.00 |
$1.10 |
$498.90 |
$196.35 |
| 11 |
$196.66 |
$0.31 |
$196.35 |
$0.00 |
Oscar is still ahead by about $151 by transferring his balance, but we still have to take into account the change in his interest rate after six months. If Oscar is a customer at Chase, he might get an offer with verbiage kind of like the rate increase notice I recently received, which said:
Default APR - The Prime Rate* plus up to 26.99%, with a maximum of 29.9% (0.08216% daily periodic rate). This rate is currently the maximum rate.
*Estimate variable APRs above are based on the 5.00% Prime Rate on August 15, 2008. The “Prime Rate” is the highest (U.S.) Prime Rate published in the Money Rates section of The Wall Street Journal as described in your agreement. These changes to your APRs do not affect any higher APRs currently in effect on your account.
That means nothing, really, except to let Oscar know that his minimum rate will be somewhere between 5% and 31.99%. Just for the sake of argument, let’s go with an almost-worst case scenario and assume that in month 7, his rate jumps to 29.99% (the max Bankrate.com will take is 30%). There isn’t a Bankrate calculator that can do this switch up that I know of, so I’m going to mash a couple together for you because I’m just that nice. Flipping his rate from 1.9% to 31.99% midstream makes his payment schedule do this:
| 1 |
$500.00 |
$8.15 |
$491.85 |
$4,658.15 |
| 2 |
$500.00 |
$7.38 |
$492.62 |
$4,165.53 |
| 3 |
$500.00 |
$6.60 |
$493.40 |
$3,672.13 |
| 4 |
$500.00 |
$5.81 |
$494.19 |
$3,177.94 |
| 5 |
$500.00 |
$5.03 |
$494.97 |
$2,682.97 |
| 6 |
$500.00 |
$4.25 |
$495.75 |
$2,187.22 |
| 7 |
$500.00 |
$54.66 |
$445.34 |
$1741.66 |
| 8 |
$500.00 |
$43.53 |
$456.47 |
$1285.19 |
| 9 |
$500.00 |
$32.12 |
$467.88 |
$817.31 |
| 10 |
$500.00 |
$20.43 |
$479.57 |
$337.74 |
| 11 |
$346.18 |
$8.44 |
$337.74 |
$0.00 |
Interesting, hmm?
Even with a flip to 29.99% starting in month 7 and a 3% balance transfer fee, Oscar’s payoff time and amount didn’t really change much - within one dollar or so.
This illustration is not meant to show that balance transfers are useless - I could have chosen different starting interest rates for Oscar’s initial debt and come up with more pronounced differences in the outcomes between sticking with the rate he had versus going with a balance transfer, fee and all.
Without going into more tables, had Oscars original rate been 8.99%, it would have cost him an extra $130.74 to take the balance transfer offer. He’d be better off sticking with his current rate.
If, on the other hand, his credit card company recently bumped his rate up to, say, 26.99% as a business decision, then moving his money, fee and all, to take advantage of this balance transfer offer would save him $382.64.
You can do your own analysis of the differences in payoffs with online calculators and a handheld calculator, and if you need help, please feel free to ask me. I can walk you through it and I promise it’s not difficult. Remember too that there are other issues that arise with balance transfer offers, such as whether low interest balance transfer balances will be paid off at all if you are carrying other debt on the same card, so please see this post for more information.